“ We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. Nate Silver
“ ...the ratings agencies' problem was in being unable or uninterested in appreciating the distinction between risk and uncertainty. Nate Silver
“ Under Bayes' theorem, no theory is perfect. Rather, it is a work in progress, always subject to further refinement and testing. Nate Silver
“ In science, progress is possible. In fact, if one believes in Bayes' theorem, scientific progress is inevitable as predictions are made and as beliefs are tested and refined. Nate Silver
“ By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. Nate Silver
“ I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. Nate Silver
“ Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. Nate Silver
“ I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. Nate Silver
“ First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. Nate Silver
“ I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. Nate Silver
“ A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursu… Nate Silver
“ Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the w… Nate Silver
“ Who needs theory when you have so much information? But this is categorically the wrong attitude to take toward forecasting, especially in a field like economics where the data is so noisy. Nate Silver