Burton G. Malkiel Quote
Investors should avoid any urge to forecast the stock market. Forecasts, even forecasts by recognized experts, are unlikely to be better than random guesses. It will fluctuate, declared J. P. Morgan when asked about his expectation for the stock market. He was right. All other market forecasts—usually estimating the overall direction of the stock market—are historically about 50 percent right and 50 percent wrong. You wouldn’t bet much money on a coin toss, so don’t even think of acting on stock market forecasts.
Burton G. Malkiel
Investors should avoid any urge to forecast the stock market. Forecasts, even forecasts by recognized experts, are unlikely to be better than random guesses. It will fluctuate, declared J. P. Morgan when asked about his expectation for the stock market. He was right. All other market forecasts—usually estimating the overall direction of the stock market—are historically about 50 percent right and 50 percent wrong. You wouldn’t bet much money on a coin toss, so don’t even think of acting on stock market forecasts.
Related Quotes
To begin to know ourselves we must have sincere conversations with ourselves as if with a good friend. We must answer without reserve, listen without judgement, and accept without condition. That is s...
Kamand Kojouri
Tags:
friendship, good, knowledge, love, friend, compassion, acceptance, kindness, judgement, empathy