If humans fight the last war, nature fights the next one.
By searching, you can always find someone who made a well-sounding statement that confirms your point of view—and, on every topic, it is possible to find another dead thinker who said the exact opposi...
Asta este, probabil, adevărata încredere în sine: abilitatea de a privi lumea fără a simți nevoia să găsim semne care să ne măgulească.
A escala federal, soy liberal; a escala estatal, republicano; a escala local, demócrata; y con mi familia y mis amigos, socialista.
The next time you experience a blackout, take some solace by looking at the sky. You will not recognize it.
I'm in favour of religion as a tamer of arrogance. For a Greek Orthodox, the idea of God as creator outside the human is not God in God's terms. My God isn't the God of George Bush.
We are the empirical decision makers who hold that uncertainty is our discipline, and that understanding how to act under conditions of incomplete information is the highest and most urgent human purs...
There is asymmetry. Those who die do so very early in the game, while those who live go on living very long. Whenever there is asymmetry in outcomes, the average survival has nothing to do with the me...
Theories are superfragile; they come and go, then come and go, then come and go again;
The consequences are not trivial: It means that rational thinking has little, very little, to do with risk avoidance. Much of what rational thinking seems to do is rationalize one’s actions by fitting...
At the limit, you can decide whether to be (relatively) poor, but free of your time, or rich but as dependent as a slave.
Stability is not good for the economy: firms become very weak during long periods of steady prosperity devoid of setbacks, and hidden vulnerabilities accumulate silently under the surface—so delaying...
There is something like a switch in us that kills the individual in favor of the collective when people engage in communal dances, mass riots, or war. Your mood is now that of the herd. You are part o...
People overvalue their knowledge and underestimate the probability of their being wrong.
My idea is that not only are some scientific results useless in real life, because they underestimate the impact of the highly improbable (or lead us to ignore it), but that many of them may be actual...
Let us return to the distinction between Thalesian and Aristotelian for a minute and look at evolution from the following point of view. The frequency, i.e., how often someone is right is largely irre...
If you need to listen to music while walking, don’t walk; and please don’t listen to music.
First ethical rule: If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud.
A central argument is never a summary. It is more like a generator.
We know from chaos theory that even if you had a perfect model of the world, you'd need infinite precision in order to predict future events. With sociopolitical or economic phenomena, we don't have a...