That is a lethal combination—cocky plus wrong—especially when a more prudent option exists: simply admit that the future is far less knowable than you think.
Knowing what to measure, and how to measure it, can make a complicated world less so.
Just because you’re at the office is no reason to stop thinking.
De modo que es posible que acudir al hospital aumente ligeramente sus probabilidades de sobrevivir si tiene un problema grave, pero aumenta sus probabilidades de morir si no lo tiene.
«Los gusanos nunca están satisfechos, no importa la cantidad de comida que les des»,
That number is 58 percent
Talisman
Many Indian parents express a strong son preference.
Demigod,
When you are consumed with the rightness or wrongness of a given issue—whether it’s fracking or gun control or genetically engineered food—it’s easy to lose track of what the issue actually is.
When there are too many physician-patient interactions, the amplitude gets turned up on everything, he says. More people with non-fatal problems are taking more medications and having more procedures,...
When it comes to solving problems, one of the best ways to start is by putting away your moral compass. Why? When you are consumed with the rightness or wrongness of a given issue—whether it’s frackin...
Whatever problem you’re trying to solve, make sure you’re not just attacking the noisy part of the problem that happens to capture your attention.
We’ve come to the conclusion that it’s much better to ask small questions than big ones. Here are a few reasons: 1. Small questions are by their nature less often asked and investigated, and maybe no...
Thinking like a Freak may sometimes sound like an exercise in using clever means to get exactly what you want, and there’s nothing wrong with that. But if there is one thing we’ve learned from a lifet...
They may accuse you of consorting with witches or communists or even economists.
The takeaway here is simple but powerful: just because you’re great at something doesn’t mean you’re good at everything. Unfortunately, this fact is routinely ignored by those who engage in—take a dee...
The same thing happens if health care is distributed in a similar fashion: people consume more of it than if they were charged the sticker price. This means the worried well crowd out the truly sick,...
The more social science we learn, the more we realize that people, while treasuring their independence, are in fact drawn to herd behavior in almost every aspect of daily life.
The key is to learn to climb inside other people's minds to figure out what really matters to them.